Global synthesis of sea turtle von Bertalanffy growth parameters through Bayesian hierarchical modeling. Academic Article uri icon

Sustainable Development Goals

  • SDG 14: Life Below Water 

Abstract

  • Knowledge of sea turtle demographic rates is central to modeling their population
    dynamics, but few studies have quantitatively synthesized existing data globally. Here, we used a
    Bayesian hierarchical model to conduct a meta-analysis of published von Bertalanffy growth
    curve parameters (growth coefficient, K; asymptotic length, L∞) for chelonid sea turtles. We identified
    34 studies for 5 of 6 extant chelonids that met minimum selection criteria. We implemented
    a suite of models that included a multivariate normal likelihood on the log-transformed values of
    the 2 parameters to evaluate the influence of species, population (regional management unit, RMU),
    parameter estimation method (mark−recapture, skeletochronology, length-frequency analysis),
    latitude, and sampled body size range (all sizes, no large, no small, no large or small) on growth
    parameter estimates. According to information criteria, the best model included a random effect of
    species. The second best model also included latitude as a fixed effect, but RMU, parameter estimation
    method, latitude, and sampled body size ultimately did not strongly influence the means
    or variances of K and L∞ among studies. The apparent lack of RMU effect on parameter estimates
    within species may be an artifact of the small number of RMUs with published growth parameter
    estimates. The species-specific, and in some cases RMU-specific, posterior means and standard
    deviations of K and L∞ from this study would be appropriate priors for future studies of growth in
    chelonid sea turtles or for models of population

Publication Date

  • 2021-01-01